How Nigeria Becomes a Tennis Power by 2035
Sep 27, 2025
The Match Nobody Remembers
By Duane "Duey" Evans
Editor's note: This story includes a brief description of gun violence.
In 1989, a 16-year-old named Charles Hardison faced a Russian player at a USA/Soviet goodwill tennis tour. Charles won that match.
His opponent was Yevgeny Kafelnikov - who went on to become world #1, win two Grand Slams, get inducted into the Hall of Fame.
Ten months later, Charles was murdered in his basement by his mother's ex-boyfriend. Shot four times. He was 16 years old, captain of his tennis team, co-founder of Students of African Descent at Milton High School. His coach said he had "the personality every man in the world would like to have."
I tell you about Charles because his story is the story of this entire project.
Not the tennis part. The barrier part.
His mother had moved them to Milton, Massachusetts to get away from urban violence. Thought the suburbs would be safer. Thought systematic education and tennis development would create opportunities her son couldn't get in the city.
She was doing everything right. Charles was doing everything right.
And systematic barriers - the kind my family has been fighting for four generations - destroyed him anyway.
The Connection I Didn't See Coming
Also on that 1989 Sportsmen's team: TimiKano Solomon. My first high-performance student. A coaching relationship that lasted over a decade.
TimiKano - his full name was literally TimiKano, after Kano, Nigeria.
Years later at Midcourt Tennis Academy in Charlotte, TimiKano worked alongside three Nigerian coaches I'd hired: Kyrian Nwokedi (former Nigerian #1 and Davis Cup player), Yakubu Suleiman (1984 Olympics when tennis was a demonstration sport), and Ras Ra I.
Kyrian and I, along with two Nigerian physicians, created Eagle Management Group to support Nigerian Davis Cup team members.
Here's what those Nigerian coaches taught me: they'd learned to play as ball kids at Lagos Tennis Club. When members were done with balls - when there was no life left in them - they'd give them to the kids.
So those kids learned to play tennis with 2-3 hand-me-down balls. No basket feeding. No lines of students waiting for instruction. Just rally, develop strategy, make points. They learned tactical thinking from the beginning because that's all they had.
All three of those coaches played significant roles in developing Thai Kwiatkowski from ages 9-14. Thai became the nation's top recruit coming out of high school. Won the 2017 NCAA Men's Singles Championship at Virginia.
The Nigerian approach - tactical from the start, strategic thinking developed through resource constraints - had already proven it could produce American champions.
I just didn't understand what I was seeing yet.
What 95 Million Kids Under 14 Actually Means
Nigeria has about 95 million children under age 14 right now.
I know what you're thinking: "Great, another coach who thinks demographic numbers equal tennis success."
Let me tell you what happened in Charlotte thirty years ago.
Teresa Wang's mother - principal of the local Chinese school - started recommending our program. Within eighteen months, we had an organic Chinese-American tennis community that produced a Yale captain and multiple Division I players.
We didn't recruit them. We didn't target that demographic. We just happened to be positioned correctly when a specific population group hit optimal development age with parents who valued systematic education.
That pattern is about to happen again. But this time, it's not a neighborhood community.
It's an entire nation.
And almost no one in tennis is paying attention.
The Math Everyone Gets Wrong
Half of Nigeria is younger than 19. The median age is about 19 years.
In the United States, median age is 38. France is 42. Japan is 49.
Here's what this actually means: you don't need high participation rates when you have 95 million kids in the talent funnel. Even if just 0.1% receive systematic development - approximately 95,000 kids - the pipeline becomes enormous. Thousands of serious juniors and, over time, multiple tour-level players.
France built their powerhouse with hundreds of thousands of juniors, not tens of millions. Spain did it with similar numbers.
Nigeria doesn't need to match their participation rates. They just need basic access for a fraction of their youth bulge.
But here's what everyone misses: demographic advantage means nothing without solving the communication problem.
That's where every previous attempt has failed.
The Failure That Taught Me Everything
After I left Charlotte in 2008, Carolina Youth Tennis Foundation continued under Kyrian Nwokedi - former Nigerian #1, Davis Cup player, elite credentials anyone would respect.
Within a year, CYTF had dissolved.
This still haunts me. Kyrian had everything: playing pedigree, coaching experience, knowledge of the game. But what worked intuitively in my coaching couldn't transfer through observation alone. The communication approaches that produced NCAA champions lived in my instincts, not in systematic process.
Then came 2009. Working on a development program called Sunaskeo, we brought in Cory Ann Avants - USTA National Champion, Junior US Open semifinalist. I'd coached her as a junior. Despite her success, our coaching relationship had systematic communication failures I couldn't explain.
Myers-Briggs revealed everything:
Me: ENTP - pattern recognition, conceptual frameworks, intuitive leaps
Cory Ann: ISFJ - needs concrete evidence, systematic proof, step-by-step
We'd been speaking different cognitive languages the entire time.
That's when I understood: communication translation is the bottleneck, not tennis expertise.
Research proved it: 70-80% of kids quit organized sports by age 13-16. Thirty percent cite negative adult behaviors. But those "negative behaviors" aren't character flaws - they're systematic communication failures. Coaches speaking pattern-language to evidence-thinkers. Adults turning up volume when they can't make themselves understood.
Frustration becomes yelling. Yelling becomes the reason kids quit.
The Nigerian opportunity works only if you solve this. Demographics don't matter if kids quit because adults can't communicate in their cognitive language.
What Technology Finally Makes Possible
Between 2018 and 2023, I invested everything in cinema equipment and media production. My partner Kim and I built EKH Media, learning to capture and transmit systematic knowledge at scale.
At the time, it felt like abandoning tennis. Looking back, I see it differently. I was acquiring the capability tennis development was missing - how to make intuitive expertise visible, documentable, and replicable.
Now, with AI, I can deliver what was impossible in 2009: individualized communication translation at scale. Same coaching insight, translated into the cognitive language each player actually processes.
This is what makes Nigeria's demographic window actionable. Without systematic communication translation, you'd lose 70-80% of kids like every other program. With it, you convert demographic advantage into sustained development.
Why Urban Density Changes Everything
In the late 1960s, roughly 17-20% of Nigerians were urban. Today it's about 54% - and rising.
Lagos will reach approximately 24.5 million by 2035 (UN World Urbanization Prospects). Abuja's metro is about 4.2 million today and among the world's fastest-growing through the 2030s. Kano, Port Harcourt, Ibadan - each will have several million.
When tennis people talk about developing a new nation, they start counting courts. How many facilities? What's the federation budget?
That's 20th-century thinking.
You don't need a thousand scattered courts. You need strategic urban hubs. Ten quality facilities in Lagos can reach tens of thousands annually through layered programming. Twenty hubs nationwide mean hundreds of thousands reached.
When I ran Samuell Grand Tennis Center in Dallas, we went from "run down and unsafe" to 56 consecutive months of revenue growth and the 2014 USTA National Outstanding Facility Award. The systematic approaches we developed there - progression systems kids could pursue independently, self-directed learning pathways - proved you could achieve scale without requiring coaching genius for every student.
That scalability model, applied to Nigeria's urban density and youth population, changes everything.
The Exchange That Makes This Real
Here's what people miss: the competitive value flows both directions.
Nigeria already has competitive players. Choose the right facilities, implement systematic development, and within 18-24 months you'd have match competition that would challenge top American juniors.
This is a two-way market: Nigerian tactical grit meets U.S. structure. Families pay for real competition. Brands underwrite measurable impact.
Wealthy families from established programs would pay premium rates for two-week home-and-home training trips - experiencing Nigerian culture while their kids face legitimate competitive challenges. This isn't charity tennis. It's competitive development that benefits both programs.
Now, 35 years after that 1989 exchange where Charles Hardison beat Kafelnikov, I'm looking at building systematic tennis development in Nigeria - with Kano, the city TimiKano was named for, as one of three primary urban hubs.
Every Nigerian coach I worked with. Every development insight I learned from their resource-constrained approaches. Every relationship built through TimiKano Solomon and Eagle Management Group.
It's been pointing toward this moment my entire career.
The Ten-Year Window
2025-2026: Pilot program in Lagos or Abuja. 15-25 players. A certified cohort of Nigerian ex-Davis Cup and academy coaches will lead execution from day one. Sister program partnership with Austin Tennis Academy - where the methodology has been refined since 2019 - establishing quality standards.
2027-2030: Urban hub expansion. Lagos, Abuja, Kano, Port Harcourt. Hundreds of players in systematic development. Regional tournament infrastructure. Corporate sponsorship scaled.
2031-2035: First generation hitting the tour in their early 20s and breaking through soon after. Top 100 ATP/WTA representation. Grand Slam qualification regularity.
The kids entering programs in 2025 will be on the ATP/WTA tours in 2035. Not as outliers. As a generation.
The window for building systematic infrastructure is now. Miss it, and the demographic advantage disappears without conversion to competitive outcomes.
After 2030, the advantage shifts and the moment passes.
What Actually Needs to Happen
The demographic data confirms the opportunity. The technology exists to solve the communication bottleneck. Program design includes safeguarding protocols and anonymized data dashboards for transparent reporting. Independent safeguarding oversight sits with the advisory board; public reporting is anonymized and quarterly.
What's needed now:
- Nigerian facility partner for pilot program
- Title/Presenting sponsor for systematic infrastructure
- Advisory board connecting federation, community leaders, and coaching expertise
The Choice That Matters
By 2035, Nigeria will either be a dominant tennis power with multiple players in the ATP/WTA top 500, regular Grand Slam contenders, and a self-sustaining tennis economy...
Or they'll be another nation that had perfect demographic timing but didn't build when the window was open.
I think about Charles Hardison. About the 1989 exchange that should have been the beginning of something. About how systematic barriers destroy potential even when everyone's doing everything right.
I think about my Nigerian coaches who learned to play with hand-me-down balls at Lagos Tennis Club. About Thai Kwiatkowski becoming an NCAA champion under their guidance. About thirty-five years of watching talent get destroyed by communication failures nobody understood.
The window is open. The methodology exists. The technology finally makes communication translation systematic.
Now we find the people who recognize what's possible when demographic timing, systematic methodology, and technology leverage align.
Duane "Duey" Evans
Founder, The Performance Architect
Systematic Tennis Development | 35+ Years Elite Coaching Experience
Former Director, Samuell Grand Tennis Center — USTA National Outstanding Facility Award (2014)
For partnership discussions on the Nigeria pilot program: [email protected]
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